LIVE TIMELINE
AUTO
STRATEGIC RISK
ELEVATED
DEFCON 2
CONFLICT STATUS: ACTIVE — DAY 5
Iranian Supreme Leader killed — Interim Council in control
Strait of Hormuz shipping heavily disrupted
Operation Epic Fury (U.S.) / Roaring Lion (Israel) active
UAE schools/universities moved online for 3 days
U.S. losses: 3 KIA, 5 seriously wounded
DAILY SUMMARY
60-SEC READ
Day 5 (Mar 4): Intensity declining. Iran signals ceasefire willingness via Swiss intermediary. 1,200+ missiles/drones launched over 5 days — largest missile exchange in modern warfare history.
Impacts: Jebel Ali Port, Burj Al Arab area, Beit Shemesh (9 killed), Erbil airport (4 killed), Haifa industrial zone. U.S. losses: 3 KIA at Camp Arifjan.
Defenses: 82% overall interception rate. Arrow-3, THAAD, Iron Dome, David's Sling, Aegis all engaged. Iran estimated at 60-70% stockpile depletion.
Bottom line: Ceasefire talks underway. Turkey mediating. Houthis continue independently. Oil at $165/barrel. 12 airports closed.
Reuters
AP
CENTCOM
BBC
Al Jazeera
Pentagon
CONFLICT INFO
CASUALTY TRACKER
LIVE
🇮🇱 ISRAEL
Civilian KIA14
Civilian WIA127
Military KIA3
Infrastructure12 sites
🇮🇷 IRAN
Military KIA200+
Civilian KIA45
Nuclear Sites3 destroyed
Missile Stock60-70% depleted
🇺🇸 COALITION
U.S. KIA3
U.S. WIA5
UAE Civilian3 injured
Iraq KIA4 (Erbil)
STRAIT OF HORMUZ
BLOCKED
SHIPPING SUSPENDED
Daily oil flowHALTED
Normal: 21M bbl/day~30% global
Vessels waiting47 tankers
Insurance premiums+400%
IRGCN fast boats30+ destroyed
Mine threatASSESSED HIGH
FORCE DEPLOYMENT
ACTIVE
🇺🇸
USS Bataan ARG
Persian Gulf
🇺🇸
USS Eisenhower CSG
Arabian Sea
🇺🇸
B-2 Spirit (509th BW)
Diego Garcia
🇬🇧
HMS Diamond (D34)
Gulf of Oman
🇮🇱
IDF Northern Command
Lebanon Border
🇺🇸
THAAD Battery
Al Dhafra, UAE
🇺🇸
Patriot PAC-3
Al Udeid, Qatar
🇫🇷
Charles de Gaulle CSG
Eastern Med
OIL & MARKETS
VOLATILE
Brent Crude
$165.40
▲ +87%
WTI Crude
$158.20
▲ +82%
Gold
$2,890
▲ +12%
S&P 500
4,120
▼ -8.3%
USD/EUR
0.87
▼ -3.1%
VIX (Fear)
48.7
▲ +180%
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